North Shore Notes · by Kaiyu
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Daily Brief

Daily Macro Brief

Public news, rates curves, and market data mapped into the macro regimes the market has not fully priced. Strong views, no private holdings or trade instructions.

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Not a news digest. I read the logic behind daily market signals and the story behind every move.

Latest Briefs

September 18, 2026

Crypto surges, the yen weakens after a BOJ hike, and oil contracts need a closer look

Broad U.S. equities are nearly flat as crypto companies surge and power and fertilizer producers decline; Saudi transshipments ease supply concerns, U.S. factory output falls, and Japan's rate hike fails to strengthen the yen.

Bitcoin: $80,900Bank of Japan policy rate: 1.25%U.S. manufacturing output: -0.3%Saudi crude sales for transshipment via Oman: 60 million bbl

Stocks and bonds rebound after the Fed hike as oil falls and chips lead

The Fed raises rates by 25 basis points and projects a higher path ahead, while falling oil and stronger chips support an intraday rebound; Russia sanctions reach the president, Google remedy details emerge, and the SEC opens a limited route for tokenized stocks.

Federal funds target range: 3.75%–4.00%WTI continuous futures: $100.84Intel: +8.50%US initial unemployment claims: 196,000

Oil eases and chips rebound as resilient spending precedes the Fed decision and crypto legislation stalls

Hopes for Saudi pipeline repairs ease oil pressure, but EIA data contradict API's large inventory build; retail sales recover, Intel benefits from partnership talks, and crypto companies weaken after the CLARITY vote fails.

WTI continuous futures: $101.78US retail sales: +1.2%Intel: +5.08%US spot bitcoin ETF net flows: -$450.33M

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